Current weather-based estimate: 27 MPN. Latest lab result was 20 MPN on Jun 13, 2024.
Site snapshot
Raritan Bay, New Dorp Beach
Lower Bay · Great Kills · Staten Island
Drier periods tend to sit near 53 MPN, while wetter periods rise to 20 MPN.
Middle lab-measured result across the site's full imported history.
Highest lab-measured bacteria level in the imported record for this site.
How to read this site
Enterococcus is a group of bacteria that normally lives in the intestines of people and animals. When it shows up at higher levels in the water, it can be a sign that sewage or other fecal contamination has reached that area.
It is used as an indicator organism, which means it helps flag the chance of sewage-related contamination without measuring every harmful thing directly. That makes it a useful way to track bacteria-based water quality conditions across many sites over time.
Lower numbers usually mean cleaner conditions for recreation. Higher numbers suggest elevated or high contamination levels, especially after rain.
MPN stands for Most Probable Number, a standard lab estimate of how much bacteria is present in a water sample. On this site, 35 MPN / 100 mL is the main reference point used to compare lower contamination levels with elevated results.
This is still only one part of water quality. These readings do not measure every form of pollution, and a single sample only captures one moment in time.
Today, based on recent rain
Best guess for the water right now
Rain sometimes matters here, but the pattern is weaker than at the most rain-sensitive sites. In drier periods this site usually sits around 53 MPN, while wetter periods rise to 20 MPN.
This estimate blends recent rain with the site's history. Below 35 MPN / 100 mL is the site's main cutoff for lower contamination levels during swimming or wading.
Based on this site's longer-term pattern plus recent rain near the shoreline.
Most recent rain near this site.
This is the main rain window used in the estimate.
Open-Meteo Marine · May 11, 2026 1:00 PM
Historical trend
Bacteria level and rain on sampling days
May 2023 to Jun 2024
This site swings between lower and elevated contamination levels over the season.
Lower is better. Colored bands show lower, elevated, and high contamination levels, and blue bars show rain on that sampling day.